Tropical Storm Watch on Coast of NC

Good Evening ,

We are seeing tropical storm watches up at this hour

From NWS NHC

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the coast of North
Carolina from Surf City northward to the North Carolina/Virginia
border, including the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds.

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued for the coast of North Carolina
from Cape Lookout northward to Duck.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Surf City northward to the North Carolina/Virginia border
* Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for…
* Cape Lookout to Duck

Interests elsewhere along the Carolina and Mid-Atlantic coasts
should monitor the progress of Maria.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area
beginning Tuesday.

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Cape Lookout to Duck including the sound side of the Outer
Banks…2 to 4 ft

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

SURF: Swells generated by Maria are increasing along portions of
the southeastern United States coast and Bermuda and will be
increasing along the Mid-Atlantic coast later today. Swells also
continue to affect Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern
coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office for more information.

 

To describe this in easier terms, between now and Wednesday lots of waves and high surf as well as increasing surge could be 2-4 feet. Tropical Storm wInds of 39 mph sustained and higher may occur Tuesday into Wednesday. Inland gusty winds may also occur, 25-35 mph and gusts up to 50 mph. A change to a warning is likely as long as the models stay consistent. Winds will expand as the storm gets closer and interact with a front. Winds even in Roanoke Va will be 15-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph on Wednesday..

 

Computer Model Predictions 

NAM

GFS

National Hurricane Center prediction of Tropical Storm force winds

time of arrival graphic

 

Dean D Davison

Meteorologist

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