Quick shot of heat Friday through the weekend for parts of the south east coast states then much cooler dry weather to settle in for next week.

I’ll show whats called precipitable water which ( is the depth of water in a column of the atmosphere, if all the water in that column were precipitated as rain. As a depth, the precipitable water is measured in millimeters or inches) so on those hot muggy sticky days remember that word, it’s not just the dew… Continue reading Quick shot of heat Friday through the weekend for parts of the south east coast states then much cooler dry weather to settle in for next week.

Cindy has made landfall along the central Gulf Coast. Severe weather and flooding more of a concern now.

Analysis this morning shows Cindy has made landfall around south east Texas or the south west Louisiana. Clouds extend way beyond the center of the storm, take notice the pink outline. That’s a tornado watch (favorable to the right or east of the center of the cyclone) I imagine this will expand northward with time… Continue reading Cindy has made landfall along the central Gulf Coast. Severe weather and flooding more of a concern now.

Latest on Cindy in the Gulf and a quick look at the forecast of what’s left once it moves inland.

In this water vapor image we can see already dry air getting wrapped around the south side of the cyclone, but the system won’t fully die. First latest from the NHC ( National Hurricane Center) Forecast tropical storm force wind probability. Again winds with this will weaken as it heads inland but winds just above… Continue reading Latest on Cindy in the Gulf and a quick look at the forecast of what’s left once it moves inland.

Update on Tropical Storm Cindy. Also Flooding continues in areas affected.

Visible imagery this afternoon shows expansive cloud cover over much of the South East. Heavy rain continues along the central Gulf coast states with the risk of tornadoes as well (noted by the pink outline) (green = Flood warning) Latest forecast tracks from the National Hurricane Center are consistent with the track. With its slow movement… Continue reading Update on Tropical Storm Cindy. Also Flooding continues in areas affected.

We have Tropical Storm Cindy in the Gulf!

Analysis of a few overlapped features here. First notice the two upper level ridges (over the South West US) and another over the western Atlantic, also note in white the dip in the jet stream ( the weakness I talked about in earlier post) A cold front has stalled in the south east (noted by… Continue reading We have Tropical Storm Cindy in the Gulf!

“Potential Tropical Cyclone Three” and the heavy rains yet again for the south east US

Water Vapor image along with National Hurricane Hunters forecast path of Potential TC three (Tropical Cyclone) Already quite a bit of moisture has streamed into the south east/Mid Atlantic bringing round after round of heavy slow moving storms (severe weather was more wide spread in the North East than in the south where more localized… Continue reading “Potential Tropical Cyclone Three” and the heavy rains yet again for the south east US

Soggy week ahead for the South East 6/19/17-6/25/17

Water vapor image shows deep moisture from the Gulf Of Mexico streaming into the south eastern US. Forecast model simulations (in next image) show the jet stream flow over the southern half our of the south west bringing in that deep tropical moisture. With all this deep atmospheric moisture in place I have attached two… Continue reading Soggy week ahead for the South East 6/19/17-6/25/17